今日點評,一針見血:馬華生死存亡看柔州!柔州堡壘一旦被攻破,馬華或全軍覆沒!網民的點評讓馬華看哭了。。

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今日點評,一針見血:馬華生死存亡看柔州!柔州堡壘一旦被攻破,馬華或全軍覆沒!網民的點評讓馬華看哭了。。

而令馬華心膽俱裂的是,他們都已經知道華裔選民過去對馬華的支持力量早已一去不復返,再也不可能回心轉意了。

這不是網民說的,這話是前馬華雪州大將拿督李華民說的!

而網民在點評李華民的言論時更絕:馬華早就在2008年死亡,2018年大選只是為它舉行遲來的葬禮罷了!

他接受社交媒體《自由今日大馬》Free Malaysia Today專訪時,一針見血指出:

馬華如今幾乎已將全黨的戰力都搬到柔州去了,馬華誓死捍衛柔州僅存的四個國會議席,

因為馬華全黨上下都知道,一旦柔州四個國會議席失守,剩下3個國會議席也可能大江東去。皮之不存,毛將焉附?

拿督李華民挑明了說,即將舉行的第14屆全國大選,將會是馬華生死存亡的關鍵之戰;

一旦馬來選民海嘯真的出現,恐怕不單止柔州四國席將喪失,

就連過去十拿九穩的霹靂丹絨馬林國席也可能完蛋,更別說危如累卵的文冬國會議席了。

因此,拿督李華民大膽預測,馬華一旦在柔州潰敗,勢必牽動全國選情全線潰敗。

馬華505所贏得的7個國會議席統統完蛋,並非不可能的事。

505全國大選,馬華從原有的15個國會議席輸到剩下7個。

這7個《死剩種》的國會議席分別是馬六甲阿羅亞也、霹靂丹絨馬林、彭亨文冬、柔州拉美士、柔州丹絨比艾、柔州亞依淡及柔州地不佬。

政治評論員一般認為,馬華在文冬、拉美士、亞依淡及地不佬將會陷入苦戰,分分鐘敗北;

馬華僅僅在丹絨馬林、阿羅亞也及丹絨比艾有較大的勝望。

馬華總會長廖中萊及副總會長蔡智勇在505大選時,都僅能以區區300多張多數票分別在文冬及拉美士擊敗火箭挑戰者。

廖中萊苦戰險勝對手黃德,蔡智勇則在當年的印度人興權會臨陣倒戈背叛民聯的助力之下,以區區300多張多數票險勝火箭的印裔對手。

這兩個國會選區,馬華要捍衛顯然非常吃力。

而魏家祥雖然過去三屆都能在亞依淡成功守土,但多數票一屆比一屆少,

從2004年的15000張多數票銳減至505大選只剩7000多張多數票;

這還是因為505大選他的對手不強,代表民聯出戰的是伊斯蘭黨的華裔穆斯林符芳橋。

若今屆大選火箭派出大將對憾魏家祥,魏公公恐怕將陷入苦戰。

拿督李華民曾經是馬華雪州梳邦區州議員,曾任馬華中委;

由於經常發表與馬華當權派立場不同的言論,在2013年遭馬華革除黨籍。

李華民表示,一個非常殘酷的現實,就是華裔選民過去曾經對馬華的全力支持,早已大江東去。

這是朝野政黨都很清楚的事實;由於巫統的野蠻驕傲打壓非土著,還不斷舉劍恐嚇華裔選民;

而馬華雖然2004年贏得史上最多國州議席,卻完全無法捍衛華裔選民利益,

反而把華裔選民的支持統統化為升官發財的私人利益。

因此從2008年的第12屆全國大選起,哀莫大於心死的華裔選民就唾棄了馬華,知道今天都沒有再回頭。

《馬華領袖不斷宣稱華裔選民如今已大量回流,那只是心理戰術,自己將自己爽罷了。》

另外,李華民也認為柔州選民不像其他州屬那麼種族主義極端化。

他說,柔州選民投票比較不看膚色種族,華裔選民往往也會把票投給印裔候選人或馬來候選人,

馬來選民也一樣會支持華裔候選人,並不會因為個人因素而改變。

因此,如果馬華在柔州繼續以《華裔就該支持馬華,否則就投廢票》的選戰操作策略,恐怕將會自食其果,萬劫不復。

It’s ‘do or die’ for MCA in Johor, says sacked leader

But the former MCA committee member says the Chinese voting against the party is a foregone conclusion.

PETALING JAYA: A former MCA rep warns that winning seats in Johor is crucial if the party is to survive and remain relevant after the 14th general election (GE14).

Speaking to FMT, former Subang Jaya assemblyman Lee Hwa Beng said MCA was going “all out” to defend Johor as this was where the party had the most parliamentary seats.

“Three more seats are outside Johor, hence the intensifying statements that the party is constantly making.

“They know that if they don’t at least retain these seats, they are going to ‘die’.

“Of course they are scared. No matter what, they will try to defend these seats, otherwise their significance will be gone forever,” he said.

In the 2013 general election, MCA won seven parliamentary seats and 11 state seats.

The following year, MCA said it was focusing on 11 state seats in Johor to win back voters in GE14.

They include Stulang, Johor Jaya, Parit Yaani and Bekoh, where MCA lost narrowly to the opposition by margins of 3% to 8%.

However, Lee said Chinese voters in Johor had already decided who to vote for in GE14, and it would not be MCA.

Lee, who was once an MCA central committee member, was sacked by the party in 2013.

He said Chinese voters in Johor are less racial in voting, and would even go for a non-Chinese candidate to deny MCA victory.

“They will vote for change instead of the party,” he said.

Lee believes nothing will ping back the support MCA once enjoyed.

“The Chinese know that MCA’s winning does not translate into the party securing a seat in the Cabinet.

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